How Guild Winners Have Matched the Oscars
How often each guild award’s winner has gone on to win the matching Oscar, and when each award is held this season. History, not a forecast.
How Guild Winners Have Matched the Oscars
In 30 Seconds
The Record: Guild Winner → Oscar Winner
Directors Guild (DGA)
→ Best Director
The highest match rate of any precursor award
77 years of data
This season: 79th DGA Awards, 30 January 2027
Producers Guild (PGA)
→ Best Picture
Decided by a preferential ballot, the method the Academy uses for Best Picture
Since 2009 (preferential ballot)
This season: PGA Awards, 27 February 2027
Actor Awards
→ Supporting Actor
The last 8 winners also won the Oscar
Recent years
This season: Actor Awards, 28 February 2027
Actor Awards
→ Supporting Actress
14 of the last 15 winners also won the Oscar
Recent years
This season: Actor Awards, 28 February 2027
Awards With a Weaker Record
The Triple Crown
When the DGA, the PGA and the Actor Awards ensemble prize all go to the same film, that film has won Best Picture every time but once. The exception: Apollo 13, in 1996.
One exception
Films that won all three and then lost Best Picture
The Academy’s Viewing Rule
For the 98th Oscars in 2026, the Academy began requiring voters to watch all nominated films in a category before casting a final-round ballot in it.
In the first season under the rule, the guild winners still matched: the DGA winner won Best Director, the PGA winner won Best Picture, and the Actor Awards winners won all four acting Oscars.
Read the full analysis →
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