Data-driven insights, guild award breakdowns, and prediction strategies for the Academy Awards.
Learn how WaitingForMacGuffin tracks real-money prediction market odds to forecast Academy Award winners.
Never placed a bet on the Oscars before? This guide explains prediction market odds in plain English—what the numbers mean and how to use them.
Two generations of leading men. Two very different films. SAG will likely decide who wins.
TIFF winner, Chloe Zhao directing, critical acclaim. At 64% odds, Buckley is the clear frontrunner.
Pop stars rarely win acting Oscars. At 60% odds, Grande is trying to change that with Wicked.
TIFF People's Choice winners often become Best Picture contenders. Here's Hamnet's path to an upset.
97% on Rotten Tomatoes. Only one horror film has ever won Best Picture. Here's what Sinners is up against.
77 years of data reveals clear patterns. DGA is 88% accurate, PGA 80% since 2009. Here's what the numbers actually tell us.
Forget pundit opinions. Here's what people with money on the line actually think will win at the 98th Academy Awards.
One Battle After Another leads at 60-70%, but the guilds haven't voted yet. Here's what each contender needs to win.
11 nominations, 0 wins. Paul Thomas Anderson is the heavy favorite, but 'overdue' narratives don't always pay off.
88% accuracy over 77 years. What happens on February 7 at the DGA Awards will likely determine the Oscar winner.
Guild awards have been predicting Oscar winners for decades. After looking at the numbers, some awards matter far more than others.
