By the time the ceremony starts, most predictive signals are already priced in. We help you spot the swings before they hit the odds.
Source: DGA Awards 1949-2025, PGA Awards 1990-2025, SAG Awards 1995-2025
The pattern speaks for itself.
| Year | DGA Winner | Oscar Director | PGA Winner | Oscar Picture |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Brady Corbet | Sean Baker | Wicked | Anora |
| 2024 | Christopher Nolan | Christopher Nolan | Oppenheimer | Oppenheimer |
| 2023 | The Daniels | The Daniels | Everything Everywhere All at Once | Everything Everywhere All at Once |
| 2022 | Jane Campion | Jane Campion | CODA | CODA |
| 2021 | Chloé Zhao | Chloé Zhao | Nomadland | Nomadland |
Sat, Feb 7 · 8:00 PM ET
days away
Best Director correlation since 1949 (69/77 years)
Best Film vs Oscar Best Picture
Best Picture correlation since 1990 (25/35 years)
Actor/Actress correlation since 1995 (77% Actor, 68% Actress)
PGA Saturday, SAG Sunday. Watch for alignment between Producers and Actors guilds.
Actionable alerts when prediction market activity suggests something is about to shift.
Real-time reaction to DGA, PGA, SAG award announcements, plus timely reminders.
Complete coverage of the news cycle around Oscar award season.
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By the time casual bettors wake up in February, the smart money has already moved. Don't be late.