Tom Holland

Best Actor contender · Spider-Man: Brand New Day

To win Best Actor

Market-implied chance1%Kalshi onlyno change this week

Kalshi1%Polymarketnot listed

To be nominated for Best Actor

Market-implied chance13%Kalshi only+5 pts this week

Kalshi13%Polymarketnot listed

Price history

Podcast episode

Show the numbers

Day	Kalshi
9 Oct 2026	1%
2 Oct 2026	1%
25 Sep 2026	1%
18 Sep 2026	1%
11 Sep 2026	1%
4 Sep 2026	1%
28 Aug 2026	1%
21 Aug 2026	1%
14 Aug 2026	1%
7 Aug 2026	2%

Traded to win

$335

Flow direction

No trades of $500 or more yet.

Average large trade

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Whale volume

No trades of $1,000 or more yet.

Recent activity

: $0
Largest large trade: None yet
Average large trade: None yet

No trades recorded on Tom Holland yet.

Whale activity

No trades of $1,000 or more on Tom Holland this season yet.

Big Money Index

of dollars traded

Also in the running

Best Supporting ActorKalshi 1%

Podcast buzz

Named in 1 episode of awards podcasts in the last 30 days

The Big Picture · 28 Sep
Old Movies vs. New Movies: How ‘Avengers: Endgame Encore’ Beat Brad Pitt, Robert Pattinson, and an Awesome Weekend Movie Lineup(audio) (opens in a new tab)
The Big Picture · 11 Sep
The Winners and Losers of the Summer Movies Came Roaring Back. Plus: ‘Hope,’ ‘The Uprising,’ and 10 More We Missed.(audio) (opens in a new tab)
The Big Picture · 8 Sep
The 10 Best Movies at the Telluride and Venice Film Festivals. Plus: Nathan Fielder’s Stunning Elizabeth Holmes Doc.(audio) (opens in a new tab)
Soundtracking with Edith Bowman · 31 Aug
624: Michael Giacchino On The Music Of Spider-Man: Brand New Day & Other Projects (opens in a new tab)
The Next Best Picture Podcast · 9 Aug
Episode 504 - NYFF Main Slate, More TIFF Programs, "Primetime," "Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother" & "Violent Night 2" Trailers(audio) (opens in a new tab)
Screen Talk · 7 Aug
Meet the 26-Year-Old Saving L.A. Cinemas; Why George Clooney Should Not Buy Warner Bros; Zendaya and Tom Holland's Next Moves(audio) (opens in a new tab)
Filmspotting · 7 Aug
Spider-Man: Brand New Day, Everybody to Kenmure Street, The Samurai and The Prisoner | #1075 (opens in a new tab)
The Next Best Picture Podcast · 2 Aug
Episode 503 - NYFF Centerpiece Announcement & Main Slate Predictions, "The Thomas Crown Affair," "Children Of Blood And Bone," "Ramayana" & "Wicker" Trailers(audio) (opens in a new tab)

From what is said on 28 film and awards podcasts (an episode’s title and show notes until it is transcribed), updated daily (last checked 6 Oct). A mention means the film or person is named, whatever the category or context. It is not a prediction or a recommendation.

The 28 podcasts

The Next Best Picture Podcast · Frontrunners and Challengers · The Awards Watch Podcast · Awards Circuit · Prestige Junkie · Little Gold Men · The Big Picture · Screen Talk · The Awardist · Awards Radar: The Podcast · Awards Central Podcast · Oscars Outsider · Awards Chatter · The Envelope · Doc Talk · Kermode & Mayo’s Take · The Film Comment Podcast · Filmspotting · Team Deakins · Art of the Cut · Soundtracking with Edith Bowman · Scriptnotes · Mike, Mike, and Oscar · Lights Camera What’s The Action? · The Rolling Tape · Circuit Gays · Academy Watch · The Town

All 34 contenders for Best Actor

Market data, not advice.