Michael
Best Casting contenderKalshi has no 2027 winner market for Casting yet. Last season it opened one the day after nominations, on 23 January 2026. Kalshi's nomination market for Casting is open.
To win Best Casting
Number 13 of 17 by Polymarket priceTo be nominated for Best Casting
Number 12 of 17 by Kalshi pricePrice history
Market-implied chance to win, Polymarket at the end of each day.Prices at the end of each day, New York time. A day without a new price keeps the day before’s. On a day a Kalshi market ends thin (nobody bidding, or more than 10¢ between buy and sell offers), its close is the last traded price.Days before 2 October 2026 come from each platform’s published price history; later days from the prices this site records.Show the numbers
| Day | Polymarket |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | under 1% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | under 1% |
| 27 Sep 2026 | 0.5% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | 0.6% |
| 13 Sep 2026 | 2% |
| 6 Sep 2026 | 2% |
| 30 Aug 2026 | 1% |
| 23 Aug 2026 | 0.6% |
| 16 Aug 2026 | 7% |
| 9 Aug 2026 | 32% |
Also in the running
Podcast buzz
Named in 4 episodes of awards podcasts in the last 30 days
The Big Picture · 2 Oct
Prestige Junkie · 29 Sep
The Big Picture · 25 Sep
The Big Picture · 22 Sep
The Big Picture · 11 Sep
Prestige Junkie · 1 Sep
Oscars Outsider · 14 Jul
The Digger Trailer Is a Disaster (And Our Full Best Director Predictions) (opens in a new tab)
Oscars Outsider · 7 Jul
Our Way-Too-Early 2027 Best Actor/Actress Oscar Predictions (opens in a new tab)
From what is said on 28 film and awards podcasts (an episode’s title and show notes until it is transcribed), updated daily (last checked 6 Oct). A mention means the film or person is named, whatever the category or context. It is not a prediction or a recommendation.
The 28 podcasts
The Next Best Picture Podcast · Frontrunners and Challengers · The Awards Watch Podcast · Awards Circuit · Prestige Junkie · Little Gold Men · The Big Picture · Screen Talk · The Awardist · Awards Radar: The Podcast · Awards Central Podcast · Oscars Outsider · Awards Chatter · The Envelope · Doc Talk · Kermode & Mayo’s Take · The Film Comment Podcast · Filmspotting · Team Deakins · Art of the Cut · Soundtracking with Edith Bowman · Scriptnotes · Mike, Mike, and Oscar · Lights Camera What’s The Action? · The Rolling Tape · Circuit Gays · Academy Watch · The Town
All 17 contenders for Best Casting
Market data, not advice.Prices are what traders paid on Kalshi and Polymarket, shown per platform or as their average; they are not predictions or recommendations.
