Project Hail Mary
Best Casting contenderKalshi has no 2027 winner market for Casting yet. Last season it opened one the day after nominations, on 23 January 2026. Kalshi's nomination market for Casting is open.
To win Best Casting
No price yetTo be nominated for Best Casting
Number 13 of 17 by Kalshi pricePrice history
Market-implied chance to be nominated, Kalshi at the end of each day.Prices at the end of each day, New York time. A day without a new price keeps the day before’s. On a day a Kalshi market ends thin (nobody bidding, or more than 10¢ between buy and sell offers), its close is the last traded price.Days before 2 October 2026 come from each platform’s published price history; later days from the prices this site records.Show the numbers
| Day | Kalshi |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 15% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 15% |
| 27 Sep 2026 | 14% |
Also in the running
Podcast buzz
Named in 5 episodes of awards podcasts in the last 30 days, 2 in the last 7
The Next Best Picture Podcast · 5 Oct
Circuit Gays · 5 Oct
Season Kickoff: Fall Festivals & The Early Oscars Draft (opens in a new tab)
Academy Watch · 3 Oct
The Big Picture · 2 Oct
The Big Picture · 22 Sep
The Rolling Tape · 26 Aug
The Awards Tape: 2027 Oscar Contenders Draft Final Rosters(audio) (opens in a new tab)
Oscars Outsider · 25 Aug
The Odyssey's Secret Weakness? And Who Actually Wins the Writing Oscars (opens in a new tab)
Oscars Outsider · 18 Aug
The consensus is.... there is no consensus? (opens in a new tab)
From what is said on 28 film and awards podcasts (an episode’s title and show notes until it is transcribed), updated daily (last checked 6 Oct). A mention means the film or person is named, whatever the category or context. It is not a prediction or a recommendation.
The 28 podcasts
The Next Best Picture Podcast · Frontrunners and Challengers · The Awards Watch Podcast · Awards Circuit · Prestige Junkie · Little Gold Men · The Big Picture · Screen Talk · The Awardist · Awards Radar: The Podcast · Awards Central Podcast · Oscars Outsider · Awards Chatter · The Envelope · Doc Talk · Kermode & Mayo’s Take · The Film Comment Podcast · Filmspotting · Team Deakins · Art of the Cut · Soundtracking with Edith Bowman · Scriptnotes · Mike, Mike, and Oscar · Lights Camera What’s The Action? · The Rolling Tape · Circuit Gays · Academy Watch · The Town
All 17 contenders for Best Casting
Market data, not advice.Prices are what traders paid on Kalshi and Polymarket, shown per platform or as their average; they are not predictions or recommendations.
