2026 archive · final odds, 14 March 2026
Best Animated Feature
98th Academy Awards · 15 March 2026 · Academy category: Animated Feature Film
KPop Demon Hunters won. Its last traded price on Kalshi on 14 March 2026 was 94%. It was the market favorite.
5 nominees · final price on 14 March 2026The big number is the last traded price on Kalshi on 14 March 2026, the day before the ceremony. Under each name: the last traded price on nominations day and the volume.Kalshi counts volume in contracts. Each contract paid $1 if it won, but the money paid for the contracts was less, and this record holds no dollar figure, so volume is shown as contracts.
KPop Demon Hunters
Maggie Kang, Chris Appelhans and Michelle L.M. Wong
Nominations day 92% · 599K contracts traded
Zootopia 2
Jared Bush, Byron Howard and Yvett Merino
Nominations day 7% · 451K contracts traded
Little Amélie or the Character of Rain
Maïlys Vallade, Liane-Cho Han, Nidia Santiago and Henri Magalon
Nominations day 3% · 193K contracts traded
Arco
Ugo Bienvenu, Félix de Givry, Sophie Mas and Natalie Portman
Nominations day 1% · 155K contracts traded
Elio
Madeline Sharafian, Domee Shi, Adrian Molina and Mary Alice Drumm
Nominations day 1% · 56,182 contracts traded
Daily closing price · 22 January to 14 March 2026
Best Animated Feature 2026
Every daily close, as a table
| Date | KPop Demon Hunters | Zootopia 2 | Little Amélie or the Character of Rain | Arco | Elio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan | 92% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| 23 Jan | 88% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| 24 Jan | 91% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| 25 Jan | 89% | 5% | 7% | 1% | 1% |
| 26 Jan | 87% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 1% |
| 27 Jan | 89% | 6% | 7% | 1% | · |
| 28 Jan | 89% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 1% |
| 29 Jan | 95% | 5% | 5% | · | 1% |
| 30 Jan | 89% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 1% |
| 31 Jan | 89% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| 1 Feb | 89% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 5% |
| 2 Feb | 88% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 1% |
| 3 Feb | 87% | 6% | 6% | 1% | · |
| 4 Feb | 87% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 1% |
| 5 Feb | 88% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| 6 Feb | 88% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 1% |
| 7 Feb | 86% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| 8 Feb | 87% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| 9 Feb | 92% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| 10 Feb | 93% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| 11 Feb | 92% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| 12 Feb | 93% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| 13 Feb | 93% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| 14 Feb | 93% | 7% | 3% | · | · |
| 15 Feb | 92% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| 16 Feb | 92% | 7% | 2% | 1% | · |
| 17 Feb | 92% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| 18 Feb | 91% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| 19 Feb | 89% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| 20 Feb | 89% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| 21 Feb | 89% | 9% | 4% | 1% | · |
| 22 Feb | 92% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| 23 Feb | 90% | 9% | 3% | 1% | · |
| 24 Feb | 90% | 9% | 3% | 1% | · |
| 25 Feb | 91% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| 26 Feb | 91% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| 27 Feb | 90% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| 28 Feb | 90% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| 1 Mar | 93% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| 2 Mar | 92% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| 3 Mar | 94% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| 4 Mar | 92% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| 5 Mar | 92% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| 6 Mar | 93% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| 7 Mar | 94% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 1% |
| 8 Mar | 94% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| 9 Mar | 94% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| 10 Mar | 94% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| 11 Mar | 93% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| 12 Mar | 93% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| 13 Mar | 93% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| 14 Mar | 94% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
A dot means no trade that day. A blank means Kalshi returned no daily record for that day.
The Kalshi market
Event KXOSCARANIMATED-26B listed 7 markets: one for each of the 5 nominees and 2 for contenders who were not nominated or for a tie (11,469 contracts traded). In all, 1.47M contracts traded.
Kalshi settled KXOSCARANIMATED-26B-KPO "yes" and every other market "no", on 16 March 2026 (UTC).
The 2 other markets
- Tie · KXOSCARANIMATED-26B-TIE9,855 contracts · closed 15 Mar
- In Your Dreams · KXOSCARANIMATED-26B-INY1,614 contracts · closed 22 Jan
Notes
- Kalshi first listed Animated Feature under KXOSCARAS-26, inside its Animated Short series. Those 16 markets never traded and were closed on 22 December 2025. This archive uses KXOSCARANIMATED-26B, which opened on 7 January 2026.
- Elio: Kalshi opened this market on 2026-01-22.
Sources: the Academy's results page (Internet Archive copy, 20 March 2026) · Kalshi's settled markets and daily prices · the site's own server record of ceremony day. Frozen on 30 September 2026.
A price is the last traded price on Kalshi, read as the market's implied chance: 77% means 77 cents for a contract that paid $1 if the nominee won. Market data, not advice.